Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on August 29?
28°C 97.0%
27°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,683 ปริมาณ
$1,683 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 97.0%
27°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,683 ปริมาณ
$1,683 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models indicate overnight lows for Singapore on August 29 will hold near 27–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with warm, humid air and only localized thundery showers. This narrow diurnal range is typical for the equatorial climate, where August average minimum temperatures are 25.3 °C but recent nights have remained above 27 °C. The 97 % market-implied probability on 28 °C therefore reflects strong consensus across official guidance and the historical rarity of sub-26 °C readings in late August. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually persistent heavy rain that suppresses radiative cooling, though model runs show little divergence on this short time scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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