**Trader consensus centers on a 27°C minimum for Singapore on September 16, reflecting model agreement and current atmospheric conditions under the prevailing southwest monsoon.** Persistent high humidity, southeasterly winds, and widespread cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above the recent 27°C threshold rather than the long-term September average of 25.2°C. Multiple forecasts from Changi Airport and regional models show the lowest temperatures occurring early morning around 27–27.5°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal rainfall. With the market-implied probability heavily weighted toward 27°C, traders appear to discount cooler outcomes unless a rare clear spell develops before resolution. Official observations from Singapore’s National Environment Agency will determine the final recorded low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on September 16?
27°C 98%
26°C 41%
25°C 11%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 41%
25°C 11%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 27°C minimum for Singapore on September 16, reflecting model agreement and current atmospheric conditions under the prevailing southwest monsoon.** Persistent high humidity, southeasterly winds, and widespread cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above the recent 27°C threshold rather than the long-term September average of 25.2°C. Multiple forecasts from Changi Airport and regional models show the lowest temperatures occurring early morning around 27–27.5°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal rainfall. With the market-implied probability heavily weighted toward 27°C, traders appear to discount cooler outcomes unless a rare clear spell develops before resolution. Official observations from Singapore’s National Environment Agency will determine the final recorded low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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