Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall in the 9–11°C range, driven by northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, building high pressure near 1020 hPa, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 9–10°C under partly cloudy skies with only light or scattered showers possible, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. The closely matched market probabilities around 9°C versus higher or lower thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimums, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter overnight cooling rates by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS, plus any new observational data from the next 48 hours, will be the key catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 23?
14°C or higher 80%
4°C or below 79%
9°C 44%
10°C 23%
4°C or below
79%
5°C
2%
6°C
9%
7°C
9%
8°C
23%
9°C
24%
10°C
23%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
12%
14°C or higher
80%
14°C or higher 80%
4°C or below 79%
9°C 44%
10°C 23%
4°C or below
79%
5°C
2%
6°C
9%
7°C
9%
8°C
23%
9°C
24%
10°C
23%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
12%
14°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall in the 9–11°C range, driven by northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, building high pressure near 1020 hPa, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 9–10°C under partly cloudy skies with only light or scattered showers possible, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. The closely matched market probabilities around 9°C versus higher or lower thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimums, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter overnight cooling rates by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS, plus any new observational data from the next 48 hours, will be the key catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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