Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal elections drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and recent primary polling shows incumbent Ed Markey holding a modest lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, with the general election set for November 3. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack the name recognition or resources to mount a credible statewide challenge in this heavily Democratic electorate. While a late primary upset, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$13,192 ปริมาณ
$13,192 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
4%
$13,192 ปริมาณ
$13,192 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,548 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican
$4,643 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal elections drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and recent primary polling shows incumbent Ed Markey holding a modest lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, with the general election set for November 3. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack the name recognition or resources to mount a credible statewide challenge in this heavily Democratic electorate. While a late primary upset, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,192วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal elections drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and recent primary polling shows incumbent Ed Markey holding a modest lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, with the general election set for November 3. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack the name recognition or resources to mount a credible statewide challenge in this heavily Democratic electorate. While a late primary upset, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,192วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage in federal elections drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the party's nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and recent primary polling shows incumbent Ed Markey holding a modest lead over challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 vote, with the general election set for November 3. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton lack the name recognition or resources to mount a credible statewide challenge in this heavily Democratic electorate. While a late primary upset, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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