Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$24,223 ปริมาณ
$24,223 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
3%
$24,223 ปริมาณ
$24,223 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$18,797 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican
$5,426 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,223วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,223วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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