Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin (D) holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+30 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Raskin's strong incumbency since 2017, high name recognition from national roles like leading impeachment proceedings, and recent endorsement by Gov. Wes Moore bolster his position, while the Republican field features low-profile candidates like Cheryl Riley lacking competitive fundraising or polling. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's consistent 60-70% Democratic margins. Scenarios to challenge include a Raskin scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though historical base rates for flipping such safe seats remain low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$14,356 ปริมาณ
$14,356 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$14,356 ปริมาณ
$14,356 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,416 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$7,939 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin (D) holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+30 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Raskin's strong incumbency since 2017, high name recognition from national roles like leading impeachment proceedings, and recent endorsement by Gov. Wes Moore bolster his position, while the Republican field features low-profile candidates like Cheryl Riley lacking competitive fundraising or polling. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's consistent 60-70% Democratic margins. Scenarios to challenge include a Raskin scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though historical base rates for flipping such safe seats remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,356วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin (D) holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+30 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Raskin's strong incumbency since 2017, high name recognition from national roles like leading impeachment proceedings, and recent endorsement by Gov. Wes Moore bolster his position, while the Republican field features low-profile candidates like Cheryl Riley lacking competitive fundraising or polling. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's consistent 60-70% Democratic margins. Scenarios to challenge include a Raskin scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though historical base rates for flipping such safe seats remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,356วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jamie Raskin (D) holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 8th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+30 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Raskin's strong incumbency since 2017, high name recognition from national roles like leading impeachment proceedings, and recent endorsement by Gov. Wes Moore bolster his position, while the Republican field features low-profile candidates like Cheryl Riley lacking competitive fundraising or polling. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, reflecting the district's consistent 60-70% Democratic margins. Scenarios to challenge include a Raskin scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though historical base rates for flipping such safe seats remain low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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