Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner in the OH-01 Republican primary, propelled by President Trump's endorsement on April 14 and joint backing from House Republican leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise, and Tom Emmer. These high-profile supports, alongside Conroy's strong Q4 2025 fundraising exceeding $600,000, have consolidated establishment and grassroots momentum in the low-profile race against dentist Steven Erbeck and others. With early voting underway since April 7 ahead of the May 5 primary, his position reflects perceived organizational edge in this toss-up general election district against incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman. Late scandals, Erbeck's local ground game surge, or unreleased internal polling could challenge the outcome, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-01 Republican Primary Winner
OH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Eric Conroy 89%
Steven Erbeck 9%
Holly Adams <1%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry <1%
$15,660 ปริมาณ
$15,660 ปริมาณ
Eric Conroy
89%
Steven Erbeck
9%
Holly Adams
<1%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry
<1%
Eric Conroy 89%
Steven Erbeck 9%
Holly Adams <1%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry <1%
$15,660 ปริมาณ
$15,660 ปริมาณ
Eric Conroy
89%
Steven Erbeck
9%
Holly Adams
<1%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner in the OH-01 Republican primary, propelled by President Trump's endorsement on April 14 and joint backing from House Republican leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise, and Tom Emmer. These high-profile supports, alongside Conroy's strong Q4 2025 fundraising exceeding $600,000, have consolidated establishment and grassroots momentum in the low-profile race against dentist Steven Erbeck and others. With early voting underway since April 7 ahead of the May 5 primary, his position reflects perceived organizational edge in this toss-up general election district against incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman. Late scandals, Erbeck's local ground game surge, or unreleased internal polling could challenge the outcome, though barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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