The extended timeline to the 2028 Republican presidential nomination keeps the vice-presidential field unusually fluid, with no candidate exceeding 24 percent in current trader pricing and the top four— Ivanka Trump, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Joe Kent—separated by just over three points. This narrow spread reflects broad uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, the influence of midterms and primary dynamics on party coalitions, and the absence of binding commitments or endorsements that would consolidate support. Historical patterns show vice-presidential selections often hinge on geographic balance, Senate confirmation considerations, and last-minute strategic needs rather than early positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 midterm results, potential cabinet or Senate maneuvers, and any early signals from leading presidential contenders that could shift implied probabilities in the coming months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 23%
Kim Kardashian 10.2%
J.D. Vance 10%
Rand Paul 7.0%
$13,822 ปริมาณ
$13,822 ปริมาณ
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
23%
Tulsi Gabbard
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Josh Hawley
2%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
2%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
7%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ivanka Trump
23%
Tom Brady
4%
Rand Paul
17%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
10%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%
Thomas Massie
4%
Eric Trump
17%
Joe Kent
19%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio 23%
Kim Kardashian 10.2%
J.D. Vance 10%
Rand Paul 7.0%
$13,822 ปริมาณ
$13,822 ปริมาณ
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
23%
Tulsi Gabbard
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Josh Hawley
2%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
2%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
7%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ivanka Trump
23%
Tom Brady
4%
Rand Paul
17%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
10%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%
Thomas Massie
4%
Eric Trump
17%
Joe Kent
19%
Pete Hegseth
4%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The extended timeline to the 2028 Republican presidential nomination keeps the vice-presidential field unusually fluid, with no candidate exceeding 24 percent in current trader pricing and the top four— Ivanka Trump, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Joe Kent—separated by just over three points. This narrow spread reflects broad uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, the influence of midterms and primary dynamics on party coalitions, and the absence of binding commitments or endorsements that would consolidate support. Historical patterns show vice-presidential selections often hinge on geographic balance, Senate confirmation considerations, and last-minute strategic needs rather than early positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 midterm results, potential cabinet or Senate maneuvers, and any early signals from leading presidential contenders that could shift implied probabilities in the coming months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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