**US imposition of 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion in Canadian imports took effect just after midnight on August 22, 2026, following the collapse of last-minute talks.** President Trump invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 for the first time, targeting goods such as dairy, wine, cement, clothing, and hockey equipment—about 5% of Canadian exports to the US—on top of existing duties on steel, aluminum, autos, and lumber. Negotiations, which had intensified since July after earlier threats and a brief pause, broke down over disputed last-minute changes in terms. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks and announced dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs effective September 8 on US steel, dairy, appliances, and other sectors. These events, amid broader USMCA-related frictions and prior tariff actions, represent the dominant recent driver of trader assessments on whether an increase remains in force through year-end or other resolution windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
$53,885 ปริมาณ

December 31, 2026
31%
$53,885 ปริมาณ

December 31, 2026
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Canadian imports would equal a 60% tariff). Item specific exceptions will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). For the purpose of this market, an increase in the general tariff rate is defined as a rate greater than the rate in effect at the time of this market's creation.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on all imports into the United States from Canada is in effect which is greater than the policy in effect at the time of this market's creation.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Canadian imports would equal a 60% tariff). Item specific exceptions will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). For the purpose of this market, an increase in the general tariff rate is defined as a rate greater than the rate in effect at the time of this market's creation.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on all imports into the United States from Canada is in effect which is greater than the policy in effect at the time of this market's creation.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**US imposition of 50% tariffs on roughly $20 billion in Canadian imports took effect just after midnight on August 22, 2026, following the collapse of last-minute talks.** President Trump invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 for the first time, targeting goods such as dairy, wine, cement, clothing, and hockey equipment—about 5% of Canadian exports to the US—on top of existing duties on steel, aluminum, autos, and lumber. Negotiations, which had intensified since July after earlier threats and a brief pause, broke down over disputed last-minute changes in terms. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks and announced dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs effective September 8 on US steel, dairy, appliances, and other sectors. These events, amid broader USMCA-related frictions and prior tariff actions, represent the dominant recent driver of trader assessments on whether an increase remains in force through year-end or other resolution windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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