**Trader consensus at 99.4% on "No" for Bill Gates being criminally charged by June 30, 2026, stems primarily from the complete absence of any public criminal investigation, indictment, or charging documents against him as of mid-June.** Bill Gates, a private citizen, faces no active federal or state prosecutions. Recent congressional testimony before the House Oversight Committee on his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein (conducted June 10) explicitly noted that no wrongdoing has been alleged against him, with the session focused on historical document review rather than new accusations. Past social media claims of arrests or indictments tied to vaccines or other matters have consistently been debunked by fact-checkers as hoaxes or civil disputes. With only 14 days remaining, realistic pathways to charges are negligible absent an unprecedented, unheralded development such as a sudden grand jury action based on undisclosed evidence. The market pricing reflects the standard legal timeline and evidentiary thresholds required for criminal charging, which show no signs of activation here.