Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 88% implied probability in the Campeche governor market after Morena’s national leadership named him state coordinator for the defense of the transformation on August 25, 2026, effectively designating him the party’s standard-bearer for the 2027 election. As a three-time mayor of Ciudad del Carmen with prior PAN experience who switched to Morena, he enjoys the backing of incumbent governor Layda Sansores and leads internal preference surveys. Recent polling gives him roughly 48% support in a potential coalition with PT and PVEM, well ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano’s Eliseo Fernández Montúfar (around 24%) and other listed contenders. Opposition fragmentation and Morena’s statewide identification advantage reinforce trader consensus on his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 6.5%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre <1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón <1%
$27,090 Vol.
$27,090 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
7%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Carlos Ucán Yam
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 6.5%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre <1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón <1%
$27,090 Vol.
$27,090 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
7%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Carlos Ucán Yam
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 88% implied probability in the Campeche governor market after Morena’s national leadership named him state coordinator for the defense of the transformation on August 25, 2026, effectively designating him the party’s standard-bearer for the 2027 election. As a three-time mayor of Ciudad del Carmen with prior PAN experience who switched to Morena, he enjoys the backing of incumbent governor Layda Sansores and leads internal preference surveys. Recent polling gives him roughly 48% support in a potential coalition with PT and PVEM, well ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano’s Eliseo Fernández Montúfar (around 24%) and other listed contenders. Opposition fragmentation and Morena’s statewide identification advantage reinforce trader consensus on his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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