Recent ECB staff projections place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, driven by stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum and resilient domestic demand amid a still-tight labor market. Adjusted measures excluding Irish multinational volatility point to 1.2% growth, aligning closely with the market's leading 1.0-2.0% outcome priced at 67.5% implied probability. Other forecasters cluster between 0.6% and 0.9%, supporting the 31.1% odds on the 0-1.0% bin. Key catalysts include fiscal easing, potential energy price stabilization from Middle East developments, and export recovery, though persistent competitiveness pressures and inflation risks around 3.0% could weigh on the path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 68%
0-1.0% 30.9%
<0% <1%
2.0-3.0% <1%
$42,312 Vol.
$42,312 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
<1%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
68%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
1.0-2.0% 68%
0-1.0% 30.9%
<0% <1%
2.0-3.0% <1%
$42,312 Vol.
$42,312 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
$2,518 Vol.
<1%
0-1.0%
$13,189 Vol.
31%
1.0-2.0%
$11,447 Vol.
68%
2.0-3.0%
$2,019 Vol.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,954 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$3,079 Vol.
<1%
5.0-6.0%
$2,031 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$3,501 Vol.
<1%
7.0%+
$2,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, driven by stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum and resilient domestic demand amid a still-tight labor market. Adjusted measures excluding Irish multinational volatility point to 1.2% growth, aligning closely with the market's leading 1.0-2.0% outcome priced at 67.5% implied probability. Other forecasters cluster between 0.6% and 0.9%, supporting the 31.1% odds on the 0-1.0% bin. Key catalysts include fiscal easing, potential energy price stabilization from Middle East developments, and export recovery, though persistent competitiveness pressures and inflation risks around 3.0% could weigh on the path.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volume
$42,312Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, driven by stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum and resilient domestic demand amid a still-tight labor market. Adjusted measures excluding Irish multinational volatility point to 1.2% growth, aligning closely with the market's leading 1.0-2.0% outcome priced at 67.5% implied probability. Other forecasters cluster between 0.6% and 0.9%, supporting the 31.1% odds on the 0-1.0% bin. Key catalysts include fiscal easing, potential energy price stabilization from Middle East developments, and export recovery, though persistent competitiveness pressures and inflation risks around 3.0% could weigh on the path.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,312Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent ECB staff projections place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, driven by stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum and resilient domestic demand amid a still-tight labor market. Adjusted measures excluding Irish multinational volatility point to 1.2% growth, aligning closely with the market's leading 1.0-2.0% outcome priced at 67.5% implied probability. Other forecasters cluster between 0.6% and 0.9%, supporting the 31.1% odds on the 0-1.0% bin. Key catalysts include fiscal easing, potential energy price stabilization from Middle East developments, and export recovery, though persistent competitiveness pressures and inflation risks around 3.0% could weigh on the path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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