Recent numerical weather models, including consensus runs from global forecasting systems, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with the market-implied 64% probability for 32°C and 21% for 33°C, as current guidance clusters tightly around 30–32°C. Historical September averages for the city show daily highs near 29–30°C, so the slight elevation reflects persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward 31°C or higher values if daytime heating intensifies further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
32°C 65%
33°C 23%
31°C 13%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
65%
33°C
23%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
33°C 23%
31°C 13%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
65%
33°C
23%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models, including consensus runs from global forecasting systems, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10 under clear skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with the market-implied 64% probability for 32°C and 21% for 33°C, as current guidance clusters tightly around 30–32°C. Historical September averages for the city show daily highs near 29–30°C, so the slight elevation reflects persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward 31°C or higher values if daytime heating intensifies further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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