**Recent NWS forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 79°F through the weekend, aligning with the leading 78-79°F market outcome at 51% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and elevated dew points (upper 70s) are limiting nighttime radiational cooling under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Current observations show daily minima running 4–7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of ~75–76°F, with recent readings near 80–82°F. This pattern supports the strong trader consensus around the 78–79°F range while keeping remote tails (86°F+, 67°F or below) priced in at 31.5% and 29.0% respectively as low-probability scenarios tied to forecast busts or rare cool-air intrusions. No major fronts or significant precipitation are expected to alter the warm, stable airmass before August 29 resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Houston on August 29?
86°F or higher 67%
67°F or below 55%
78-79°F 51%
72-73°F 49%
67°F or below
55%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
67%
86°F or higher 67%
67°F or below 55%
78-79°F 51%
72-73°F 49%
67°F or below
55%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent NWS forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 79°F through the weekend, aligning with the leading 78-79°F market outcome at 51% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and elevated dew points (upper 70s) are limiting nighttime radiational cooling under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Current observations show daily minima running 4–7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of ~75–76°F, with recent readings near 80–82°F. This pattern supports the strong trader consensus around the 78–79°F range while keeping remote tails (86°F+, 67°F or below) priced in at 31.5% and 29.0% respectively as low-probability scenarios tied to forecast busts or rare cool-air intrusions. No major fronts or significant precipitation are expected to alter the warm, stable airmass before August 29 resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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