Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 2, 2026, centers the overnight low in the upper 70s, with most runs projecting 78–79°F under humid conditions and light east-to-southeast winds. Typical late-summer patterns—high dew points near 78–80°F, scattered afternoon convection, and limited radiational cooling—support this range, aligning with the 46% market-implied probability for 78–79°F and 25.5% for 76–77°F. Historical September 2 averages (77.4°F low) and recent years’ observations near 78°F reinforce trader consensus around these bins, while lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect expectations of at least modest overnight drops absent stronger onshore flow or clearing skies. Updated evening forecast discussions from NWS Miami remain the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on September 2?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 11%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 11%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 2, 2026, centers the overnight low in the upper 70s, with most runs projecting 78–79°F under humid conditions and light east-to-southeast winds. Typical late-summer patterns—high dew points near 78–80°F, scattered afternoon convection, and limited radiational cooling—support this range, aligning with the 46% market-implied probability for 78–79°F and 25.5% for 76–77°F. Historical September 2 averages (77.4°F low) and recent years’ observations near 78°F reinforce trader consensus around these bins, while lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect expectations of at least modest overnight drops absent stronger onshore flow or clearing skies. Updated evening forecast discussions from NWS Miami remain the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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