Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a dominant high-pressure system over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and overnight lows in the low 20s°C for Milan on September 3, consistent with the market-implied 43% probability for 23°C or higher. This setup contrasts with climatological September minima near 16–18°C, reflecting the influence of an extended warm spell. Traders appear to price in meaningful forecast uncertainty, as evidenced by the near-equal weighting on 13°C or below, given potential model divergence in steering patterns or subtle cooling from northerly flow. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around observed minimum temperatures.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 3?
23°C or higher 82%
13°C or below 78%
14°C 48%
21°C 48%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
78%
14°C
48%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
25%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
82%
23°C or higher 82%
13°C or below 78%
14°C 48%
21°C 48%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
78%
14°C
$5 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$20 Vol.
48%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a dominant high-pressure system over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and overnight lows in the low 20s°C for Milan on September 3, consistent with the market-implied 43% probability for 23°C or higher. This setup contrasts with climatological September minima near 16–18°C, reflecting the influence of an extended warm spell. Traders appear to price in meaningful forecast uncertainty, as evidenced by the near-equal weighting on 13°C or below, given potential model divergence in steering patterns or subtle cooling from northerly flow. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around observed minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$40Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a dominant high-pressure system over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and overnight lows in the low 20s°C for Milan on September 3, consistent with the market-implied 43% probability for 23°C or higher. This setup contrasts with climatological September minima near 16–18°C, reflecting the influence of an extended warm spell. Traders appear to price in meaningful forecast uncertainty, as evidenced by the near-equal weighting on 13°C or below, given potential model divergence in steering patterns or subtle cooling from northerly flow. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around observed minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate a dominant high-pressure system over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and overnight lows in the low 20s°C for Milan on September 3, consistent with the market-implied 43% probability for 23°C or higher. This setup contrasts with climatological September minima near 16–18°C, reflecting the influence of an extended warm spell. Traders appear to price in meaningful forecast uncertainty, as evidenced by the near-equal weighting on 13°C or below, given potential model divergence in steering patterns or subtle cooling from northerly flow. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around observed minimum temperatures.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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