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Pederal Na Reserba mga prediksiyon at odds

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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

88%

Kevin Cramer

$76.9K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

88%

June 30

$5.4K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

19%

December 31

$6.0K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

23%

$28.0K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

15%

$15.9K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

2%

$127K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

36%

3.5%

$6M Vol.

$325K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

99%

No change

$110M Vol.

$6M today

$16M Liq.

10

Ends in 11 days

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

94%

Kevin Warsh

$32M Vol.

$719K today

$1M Liq.

81

Ends in 7 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

93%

No change

$9M Vol.

$262K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

35%

0 (0 bps)

$20M Vol.

$203K today

$1M Liq.

55

Ends in 9 months

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

10%

$51.0K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

80%

No change

$4M Vol.

$378K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

89%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$87.2K Liq.

38

Ends in 26 days

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

13%

$907K Vol.

$82.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

70%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$220K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

64%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$185K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$640K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

74%

June 30

$590K Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

12

Ends in 27 days

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Pederal Na Reserba.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 146 aktibong markets para sa Pederal Na Reserba na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $187.4M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Fed decision in April?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Fed decision in April?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 99% na tsansa sa No change. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Pederal Na Reserba predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.