Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAL -01 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
AL -01 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$18,545 Hac.
$18,545 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
94%
Demokrat Parti
5%
$18,545 Hac.
$18,545 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$5,262 Hac.
94%
Demokrat Parti
$13,282 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Hacim
$18,545Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$18,545Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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