Trader consensus strongly favors the Democratic Party at 88.5% implied probability to retain Georgia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Sanford Bishop's long tenure as a moderate Blue Dog Democrat in this Solid Democratic district (Cook PVI D+4). Bishop, who won 56% in 2024 despite Republican gains post-redistricting, faces no active Democratic primary challengers ahead of the May 19 open primary, bolstered by $269,000 cash on hand. The GOP primary features Matt Day after other candidates withdrew, mirroring historical lopsided results where Republicans top out near 45%. Absent scandals, health issues, or a national wave, traders see slim odds for a flip before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiGA -02 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
GA -02 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$11,593 Hac.
$11,593 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
89%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
11%
$11,593 Hac.
$11,593 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
$5,991 Hac.
89%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$5,602 Hac.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus strongly favors the Democratic Party at 88.5% implied probability to retain Georgia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Sanford Bishop's long tenure as a moderate Blue Dog Democrat in this Solid Democratic district (Cook PVI D+4). Bishop, who won 56% in 2024 despite Republican gains post-redistricting, faces no active Democratic primary challengers ahead of the May 19 open primary, bolstered by $269,000 cash on hand. The GOP primary features Matt Day after other candidates withdrew, mirroring historical lopsided results where Republicans top out near 45%. Absent scandals, health issues, or a national wave, traders see slim odds for a flip before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Hacim
$11,593Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus strongly favors the Democratic Party at 88.5% implied probability to retain Georgia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Sanford Bishop's long tenure as a moderate Blue Dog Democrat in this Solid Democratic district (Cook PVI D+4). Bishop, who won 56% in 2024 despite Republican gains post-redistricting, faces no active Democratic primary challengers ahead of the May 19 open primary, bolstered by $269,000 cash on hand. The GOP primary features Matt Day after other candidates withdrew, mirroring historical lopsided results where Republicans top out near 45%. Absent scandals, health issues, or a national wave, traders see slim odds for a flip before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$11,593Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors the Democratic Party at 88.5% implied probability to retain Georgia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Sanford Bishop's long tenure as a moderate Blue Dog Democrat in this Solid Democratic district (Cook PVI D+4). Bishop, who won 56% in 2024 despite Republican gains post-redistricting, faces no active Democratic primary challengers ahead of the May 19 open primary, bolstered by $269,000 cash on hand. The GOP primary features Matt Day after other candidates withdrew, mirroring historical lopsided results where Republicans top out near 45%. Absent scandals, health issues, or a national wave, traders see slim odds for a flip before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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