Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 17, with models like China Meteorological Administration projecting 28°C under cloudy-to-sunny conditions and international sources such as AccuWeather indicating 26°C at Jiangbei International Airport amid partly sunny skies. Recent rainfall across southern China through April 15-17 has cooled surface temperatures—yesterday's maximum hit just 22°C with 93% humidity—suppressing peaks but allowing potential rebound as clouds clear, differentiating outcomes via insolation levels and residual moisture. Key factors include timing of convective clearing and light winds under 3 m/s; airport observations will resolve the market, with hourly updates expected throughout the day. Historical April highs average 23-26°C, aligning with this clustered 21.5-24% implied probabilities for 25-27°C.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
26°C 28%
27°C 27%
25°C 23%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
23%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 28%
27°C 27%
25°C 23%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
23%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 17, with models like China Meteorological Administration projecting 28°C under cloudy-to-sunny conditions and international sources such as AccuWeather indicating 26°C at Jiangbei International Airport amid partly sunny skies. Recent rainfall across southern China through April 15-17 has cooled surface temperatures—yesterday's maximum hit just 22°C with 93% humidity—suppressing peaks but allowing potential rebound as clouds clear, differentiating outcomes via insolation levels and residual moisture. Key factors include timing of convective clearing and light winds under 3 m/s; airport observations will resolve the market, with hourly updates expected throughout the day. Historical April highs average 23-26°C, aligning with this clustered 21.5-24% implied probabilities for 25-27°C.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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