Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a high near 30-31°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by persistent clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering strong daytime heating. Recent observational data from April 15 shows current temperatures around 26°C with minimal cloud cover, aligning with model ensembles like those from AccuWeather (89°F or 32°C peak) and WMO-linked CMA guidance (30°C high), though slight sea breeze influences or afternoon cumulus development could cap peaks at 30°C. Historical mid-April averages hover at 29-30°C, with variability from humidity and light winds differentiating outcomes; watch hourly station updates for resolution as peak heating occurs 2-4 PM local time.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 50%
30°C 36%
29°C or below 21%
32°C 8%
YENİ
YENİ
16 Nis 2026
29°C or below
21%
30°C
38%
31°C
39%
32°C
14%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 36%
29°C or below 21%
32°C 8%
YENİ
YENİ
16 Nis 2026
29°C or below
$303 Hac.
21%
30°C
$215 Hac.
38%
31°C
$336 Hac.
39%
32°C
$315 Hac.
14%
33°C
$250 Hac.
8%
34°C
$272 Hac.
4%
35°C
$1,125 Hac.
<1%
36°C
$1,353 Hac.
<1%
37°C
$332 Hac.
<1%
38°C
$446 Hac.
<1%
39°C or higher
$790 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a high near 30-31°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by persistent clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering strong daytime heating. Recent observational data from April 15 shows current temperatures around 26°C with minimal cloud cover, aligning with model ensembles like those from AccuWeather (89°F or 32°C peak) and WMO-linked CMA guidance (30°C high), though slight sea breeze influences or afternoon cumulus development could cap peaks at 30°C. Historical mid-April averages hover at 29-30°C, with variability from humidity and light winds differentiating outcomes; watch hourly station updates for resolution as peak heating occurs 2-4 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Hacim
$5,737Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a high near 30-31°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by persistent clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering strong daytime heating. Recent observational data from April 15 shows current temperatures around 26°C with minimal cloud cover, aligning with model ensembles like those from AccuWeather (89°F or 32°C peak) and WMO-linked CMA guidance (30°C high), though slight sea breeze influences or afternoon cumulus development could cap peaks at 30°C. Historical mid-April averages hover at 29-30°C, with variability from humidity and light winds differentiating outcomes; watch hourly station updates for resolution as peak heating occurs 2-4 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$5,737Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a high near 30-31°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by persistent clear skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering strong daytime heating. Recent observational data from April 15 shows current temperatures around 26°C with minimal cloud cover, aligning with model ensembles like those from AccuWeather (89°F or 32°C peak) and WMO-linked CMA guidance (30°C high), though slight sea breeze influences or afternoon cumulus development could cap peaks at 30°C. Historical mid-April averages hover at 29-30°C, with variability from humidity and light winds differentiating outcomes; watch hourly station updates for resolution as peak heating occurs 2-4 PM local time.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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