Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature for April 17, with market-implied odds favoring 33°C (28.5%) over 32°C (26.0%) and 34°C (21.5%), driven by BMKG's latest forecasts projecting highs around 30°C amid light rain, high humidity (70-98%), and partly cloudy skies across Jakarta regions. This cautious outlook stems from recent days' persistent showers suppressing peaks below seasonal norms, per official observations, yet traders weigh historical April averages of 32°C—shaped by the urban heat island effect, sea breezes, and monsoon transition—against potential clearing. Model divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation differentiate outcomes, with BMKG's next update expected to refine guidance amid tropical variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 29%
32°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
26%
33°C
29%
34°C
23%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
32°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
26%
33°C
29%
34°C
23%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature for April 17, with market-implied odds favoring 33°C (28.5%) over 32°C (26.0%) and 34°C (21.5%), driven by BMKG's latest forecasts projecting highs around 30°C amid light rain, high humidity (70-98%), and partly cloudy skies across Jakarta regions. This cautious outlook stems from recent days' persistent showers suppressing peaks below seasonal norms, per official observations, yet traders weigh historical April averages of 32°C—shaped by the urban heat island effect, sea breezes, and monsoon transition—against potential clearing. Model divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation differentiate outcomes, with BMKG's next update expected to refine guidance amid tropical variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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