National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with west winds 10-15 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 66-71°F outcomes as the market-implied consensus. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus, fueled by cool onshore flow from the Pacific, capping temperatures via a low-level temperature inversion typical of springtime coastal meteorology—historical April averages hover around 63-66°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of marine layer burn-off: early clearing boosts insolation for 70-71°F peaks, while delayed dissipation amid gusty winds favors 66-67°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show modest spread in cloud cover, with afternoon updates and SFO observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 23%
64-65°F 17%
$11,194 Hac.
$11,194 Hac.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 23%
64-65°F 17%
$11,194 Hac.
$11,194 Hac.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with west winds 10-15 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 66-71°F outcomes as the market-implied consensus. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus, fueled by cool onshore flow from the Pacific, capping temperatures via a low-level temperature inversion typical of springtime coastal meteorology—historical April averages hover around 63-66°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of marine layer burn-off: early clearing boosts insolation for 70-71°F peaks, while delayed dissipation amid gusty winds favors 66-67°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show modest spread in cloud cover, with afternoon updates and SFO observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular