MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 17 high at 18°C under mostly fine skies with northwesterlies strengthening ahead of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (39.5%) as the leading outcome over 19°C (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread, with NIWA ensembles hinting at 21°C potential from robust warm air advection, tempered by MetService's conservative outlook accounting for possible early cloud and shower cooling. Key differentiators include northerly wind strength—enhancing temperatures via downslope effects—and peak-hour timing before showers, amid April climatology averaging 17°C highs. Hourly updates overnight and airport observations will sharpen resolution as inherent short-range forecast uncertainty plays out.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
17°C 16%
20°C 5.2%
$28,578 Hac.
$28,578 Hac.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
16%
18°C
40%
19°C
35%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
17°C 16%
20°C 5.2%
$28,578 Hac.
$28,578 Hac.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
16%
18°C
40%
19°C
35%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 17 high at 18°C under mostly fine skies with northwesterlies strengthening ahead of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (39.5%) as the leading outcome over 19°C (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread, with NIWA ensembles hinting at 21°C potential from robust warm air advection, tempered by MetService's conservative outlook accounting for possible early cloud and shower cooling. Key differentiators include northerly wind strength—enhancing temperatures via downslope effects—and peak-hour timing before showers, amid April climatology averaging 17°C highs. Hourly updates overnight and airport observations will sharpen resolution as inherent short-range forecast uncertainty plays out.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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