In Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% following Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive March 17 primary win, capturing over 40% against 10 rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr., aided by $4.4 million from an AIPAC-backed group. The open seat vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic field but solidified party dominance in this South Side Chicago and south suburban stronghold, where incumbents have secured landslide margins exceeding 40 points historically. Republican nominee Mike Noack lacks comparable resources or profile. While a major scandal, indictment, or national GOP wave could shift odds, base rates for such safe districts favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIL -02 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
IL -02 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$21,152 Hac.
$21,152 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
4%
$21,152 Hac.
$21,152 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
$8,167 Hac.
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$12,985 Hac.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% following Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive March 17 primary win, capturing over 40% against 10 rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr., aided by $4.4 million from an AIPAC-backed group. The open seat vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic field but solidified party dominance in this South Side Chicago and south suburban stronghold, where incumbents have secured landslide margins exceeding 40 points historically. Republican nominee Mike Noack lacks comparable resources or profile. While a major scandal, indictment, or national GOP wave could shift odds, base rates for such safe districts favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Hacim
$21,152Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% following Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive March 17 primary win, capturing over 40% against 10 rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr., aided by $4.4 million from an AIPAC-backed group. The open seat vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic field but solidified party dominance in this South Side Chicago and south suburban stronghold, where incumbents have secured landslide margins exceeding 40 points historically. Republican nominee Mike Noack lacks comparable resources or profile. While a major scandal, indictment, or national GOP wave could shift odds, base rates for such safe districts favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$21,152Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% following Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive March 17 primary win, capturing over 40% against 10 rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr., aided by $4.4 million from an AIPAC-backed group. The open seat vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic field but solidified party dominance in this South Side Chicago and south suburban stronghold, where incumbents have secured landslide margins exceeding 40 points historically. Republican nominee Mike Noack lacks comparable resources or profile. While a major scandal, indictment, or national GOP wave could shift odds, base rates for such safe districts favor Democrats through the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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