The open seat in Nevada's Republican-leaning 2nd Congressional District, encompassing rural northern Nevada, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the GOP's unbroken hold since the early 2000s—Democrats' closest margin was a 5-point loss in 2006. Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement sparked a crowded field of 27 candidates, with primaries set for June 9 ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent Q1 fundraising underscores GOP strength, as Republican David Flippo raised $785,000 (mostly self-loans) and James Settelmeyer $105,000, surpassing Democrats Greg Kidd ($185,000 self-loan) and Teresa Benitez-Thompson ($57,000). No public polls indicate Democratic viability, aligning with historical base rates favoring Republicans.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNV -02 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
NV -02 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$12,805 Hac.
$12,805 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
77%
Demokrat Parti
23%
$12,805 Hac.
$12,805 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$9,737 Hac.
77%
Demokrat Parti
$3,067 Hac.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's Republican-leaning 2nd Congressional District, encompassing rural northern Nevada, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the GOP's unbroken hold since the early 2000s—Democrats' closest margin was a 5-point loss in 2006. Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement sparked a crowded field of 27 candidates, with primaries set for June 9 ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent Q1 fundraising underscores GOP strength, as Republican David Flippo raised $785,000 (mostly self-loans) and James Settelmeyer $105,000, surpassing Democrats Greg Kidd ($185,000 self-loan) and Teresa Benitez-Thompson ($57,000). No public polls indicate Democratic viability, aligning with historical base rates favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Hacim
$12,805Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's Republican-leaning 2nd Congressional District, encompassing rural northern Nevada, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the GOP's unbroken hold since the early 2000s—Democrats' closest margin was a 5-point loss in 2006. Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement sparked a crowded field of 27 candidates, with primaries set for June 9 ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent Q1 fundraising underscores GOP strength, as Republican David Flippo raised $785,000 (mostly self-loans) and James Settelmeyer $105,000, surpassing Democrats Greg Kidd ($185,000 self-loan) and Teresa Benitez-Thompson ($57,000). No public polls indicate Democratic viability, aligning with historical base rates favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$12,805Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada's Republican-leaning 2nd Congressional District, encompassing rural northern Nevada, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the GOP's unbroken hold since the early 2000s—Democrats' closest margin was a 5-point loss in 2006. Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement sparked a crowded field of 27 candidates, with primaries set for June 9 ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent Q1 fundraising underscores GOP strength, as Republican David Flippo raised $785,000 (mostly self-loans) and James Settelmeyer $105,000, surpassing Democrats Greg Kidd ($185,000 self-loan) and Teresa Benitez-Thompson ($57,000). No public polls indicate Democratic viability, aligning with historical base rates favoring Republicans.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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