Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest on April 15 showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 37% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 32% in first-round scenarios, alongside Futura/APEX and Datafolha surveys placing the top vote-getter below 40%, underscore a fragmented field far short of the 50%+1 threshold needed for an outright win on October 4. Indecisos hover around 16%, with minor candidates like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema splitting the right-wing vote, mirroring historical Brazilian presidential patterns where runoffs are the norm absent a dominant frontrunner. Steady polling averages reflect trader consensus on a likely second round, barring major shifts from endorsements or scandals before the vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$57,676 Hac.
$57,676 Hac.
4 Eki 2026
$57,676 Hac.
$57,676 Hac.
4 Eki 2026
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest on April 15 showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 37% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 32% in first-round scenarios, alongside Futura/APEX and Datafolha surveys placing the top vote-getter below 40%, underscore a fragmented field far short of the 50%+1 threshold needed for an outright win on October 4. Indecisos hover around 16%, with minor candidates like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema splitting the right-wing vote, mirroring historical Brazilian presidential patterns where runoffs are the norm absent a dominant frontrunner. Steady polling averages reflect trader consensus on a likely second round, barring major shifts from endorsements or scandals before the vote.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Hacim
$57,676Bitiş Tarihi
4 Eki 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest on April 15 showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 37% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 32% in first-round scenarios, alongside Futura/APEX and Datafolha surveys placing the top vote-getter below 40%, underscore a fragmented field far short of the 50%+1 threshold needed for an outright win on October 4. Indecisos hover around 16%, with minor candidates like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema splitting the right-wing vote, mirroring historical Brazilian presidential patterns where runoffs are the norm absent a dominant frontrunner. Steady polling averages reflect trader consensus on a likely second round, barring major shifts from endorsements or scandals before the vote.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Hacim
$57,676Bitiş Tarihi
4 Eki 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls, including Genial/Quaest on April 15 showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 37% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 32% in first-round scenarios, alongside Futura/APEX and Datafolha surveys placing the top vote-getter below 40%, underscore a fragmented field far short of the 50%+1 threshold needed for an outright win on October 4. Indecisos hover around 16%, with minor candidates like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema splitting the right-wing vote, mirroring historical Brazilian presidential patterns where runoffs are the norm absent a dominant frontrunner. Steady polling averages reflect trader consensus on a likely second round, barring major shifts from endorsements or scandals before the vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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