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Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

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Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

24% olasılık
Polymarket

$22,613 Hac.

24% olasılık
Polymarket

$22,613 Hac.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Trader consensus favors Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), with "No" at 76%, reflecting high institutional barriers to removal despite mounting political pressure.** Recent scandals linking his wife's law firm to a R$129 million Banco Master contract amid the bank's fraud probe, alongside a rejected CPI report seeking his indictment, have fueled over 47 Senate impeachment requests as of April 14. However, no procedural progress has advanced, with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre signaling delays and STF President Edson Fachin defending colleagues against legislative overreach. Moraes continues issuing rulings, including a fresh inquiry against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on April 15, underscoring his entrenched position under lifetime tenure until age 75 and rare impeachment precedents requiring supermajorities. Absent Senate action or resignation signals, traders see limited near-term risk of ouster.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$22,613
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Trader consensus favors Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), with "No" at 76%, reflecting high institutional barriers to removal despite mounting political pressure.** Recent scandals linking his wife's law firm to a R$129 million Banco Master contract amid the bank's fraud probe, alongside a rejected CPI report seeking his indictment, have fueled over 47 Senate impeachment requests as of April 14. However, no procedural progress has advanced, with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre signaling delays and STF President Edson Fachin defending colleagues against legislative overreach. Moraes continues issuing rulings, including a fresh inquiry against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on April 15, underscoring his entrenched position under lifetime tenure until age 75 and rare impeachment precedents requiring supermajorities. Absent Senate action or resignation signals, traders see limited near-term risk of ouster.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$22,613
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 24%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 24¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 24% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" toplam $22.6K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 9, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 24%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 24% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.