Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 38.5% implied probability to 0.5% monthly CPI for April 2026, with 27.5% for 0.4%, positioning these as leaders amid expectations of moderation from March's energy-driven 0.9% headline surge—fueled by geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict—that lifted annual inflation to 3.3%, while core CPI rose a tame 0.2%. The softer-than-expected March PPI increase of 0.5% on April 14 suggests limited pass-through pressures, aligning with Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.46% headline as of April 17. Recent Fed comments from Williams and Waller underscore persistent inflation risks from oil volatility. Key resolution arrives May 12.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 12, 2026
≤0.3%
8%
0.4%
27%
0.5%
40%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
5%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
3%
≥1.1%
3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 12, 2026
≤0.3%
$361 Обс.
8%
0.4%
$885 Обс.
27%
0.5%
$1,187 Обс.
40%
0.6%
$566 Обс.
14%
0.7%
$930 Обс.
8%
0.8%
$808 Обс.
5%
0.9%
$715 Обс.
2%
1.0%
$1,026 Обс.
3%
≥1.1%
$696 Обс.
3%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 38.5% implied probability to 0.5% monthly CPI for April 2026, with 27.5% for 0.4%, positioning these as leaders amid expectations of moderation from March's energy-driven 0.9% headline surge—fueled by geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict—that lifted annual inflation to 3.3%, while core CPI rose a tame 0.2%. The softer-than-expected March PPI increase of 0.5% on April 14 suggests limited pass-through pressures, aligning with Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.46% headline as of April 17. Recent Fed comments from Williams and Waller underscore persistent inflation risks from oil volatility. Key resolution arrives May 12.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,173Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 38.5% implied probability to 0.5% monthly CPI for April 2026, with 27.5% for 0.4%, positioning these as leaders amid expectations of moderation from March's energy-driven 0.9% headline surge—fueled by geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict—that lifted annual inflation to 3.3%, while core CPI rose a tame 0.2%. The softer-than-expected March PPI increase of 0.5% on April 14 suggests limited pass-through pressures, aligning with Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.46% headline as of April 17. Recent Fed comments from Williams and Waller underscore persistent inflation risks from oil volatility. Key resolution arrives May 12.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$7,173Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 38.5% implied probability to 0.5% monthly CPI for April 2026, with 27.5% for 0.4%, positioning these as leaders amid expectations of moderation from March's energy-driven 0.9% headline surge—fueled by geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict—that lifted annual inflation to 3.3%, while core CPI rose a tame 0.2%. The softer-than-expected March PPI increase of 0.5% on April 14 suggests limited pass-through pressures, aligning with Cleveland Fed nowcasts of 0.46% headline as of April 17. Recent Fed comments from Williams and Waller underscore persistent inflation risks from oil volatility. Key resolution arrives May 12.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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