Recent Bank of Canada projections position the 2.5–2.9% range as the leading outcome for 2026 annual CPI inflation, with the central bank lifting its forecast to 2.5% in the July Monetary Policy Report amid higher energy prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions. June 2026 CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, reflecting softer gasoline and food components, while core measures declined toward the 2% target. Weak but stabilizing growth and the policy rate held at 2.25% reinforce trader focus on a narrow band around the midpoint of the 1–3% target range. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release and subsequent BoC communications on oil-price pass-through.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCanada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 38.7%
2.0–2.4% 18.7%
1.5–1.9% 15.4%
3.0-3.4% 14.0%
$38,086 Обс.
$38,086 Обс.
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
15%
2.0–2.4%
15%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
14%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
6%
2.5–2.9% 38.7%
2.0–2.4% 18.7%
1.5–1.9% 15.4%
3.0-3.4% 14.0%
$38,086 Обс.
$38,086 Обс.
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
15%
2.0–2.4%
15%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
14%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
6%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Bank of Canada projections position the 2.5–2.9% range as the leading outcome for 2026 annual CPI inflation, with the central bank lifting its forecast to 2.5% in the July Monetary Policy Report amid higher energy prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions. June 2026 CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, reflecting softer gasoline and food components, while core measures declined toward the 2% target. Weak but stabilizing growth and the policy rate held at 2.25% reinforce trader focus on a narrow band around the midpoint of the 1–3% target range. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI release and subsequent BoC communications on oil-price pass-through.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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