Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-50s. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI infrastructure spending, and inventory restocking, tempered by front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. Elevated prices paid (71.1) and lengthening supplier deliveries continue to signal input-cost pressures that could cap further acceleration. With outcomes tightly bunched from 54.0–56.9, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether momentum persists into August or moderates toward the long-term average near 52–53, ahead of the September 1 release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено54.0–54.9 19%
55.0–55.9 18%
56.0–56.9 17%
57.0–57.9 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
5%
51.0–51.9
5%
52.0–52.9
12%
53.0–53.9
12%
54.0–54.9
19%
55.0–55.9
18%
56.0–56.9
17%
57.0–57.9
13%
58.0–58.9
12%
59.0+
7%
54.0–54.9 19%
55.0–55.9 18%
56.0–56.9 17%
57.0–57.9 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
$153 Обс.
5%
51.0–51.9
$148 Обс.
5%
52.0–52.9
$65 Обс.
12%
53.0–53.9
$102 Обс.
12%
54.0–54.9
$106 Обс.
19%
55.0–55.9
$96 Обс.
18%
56.0–56.9
$100 Обс.
17%
57.0–57.9
$104 Обс.
13%
58.0–58.9
$65 Обс.
12%
59.0+
$65 Обс.
7%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-50s. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI infrastructure spending, and inventory restocking, tempered by front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. Elevated prices paid (71.1) and lengthening supplier deliveries continue to signal input-cost pressures that could cap further acceleration. With outcomes tightly bunched from 54.0–56.9, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether momentum persists into August or moderates toward the long-term average near 52–53, ahead of the September 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,005Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-50s. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI infrastructure spending, and inventory restocking, tempered by front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. Elevated prices paid (71.1) and lengthening supplier deliveries continue to signal input-cost pressures that could cap further acceleration. With outcomes tightly bunched from 54.0–56.9, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether momentum persists into August or moderates toward the long-term average near 52–53, ahead of the September 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$1,005Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-50s. Broad-based gains in new orders (56.7), production (58.5), and employment (returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI infrastructure spending, and inventory restocking, tempered by front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. Elevated prices paid (71.1) and lengthening supplier deliveries continue to signal input-cost pressures that could cap further acceleration. With outcomes tightly bunched from 54.0–56.9, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether momentum persists into August or moderates toward the long-term average near 52–53, ahead of the September 1 release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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