US headline CPI inflation surged to 3.3% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 2.4% in February and the highest since May 2024, driven by a 12.5% energy price spike amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict; monthly CPI rose 0.9% seasonally adjusted, the largest gain since 2022. The Federal Reserve's March 18 dot plot raised its median 2026 PCE inflation projection to 2.7% from 2.4%, reflecting trader consensus on sticky prices despite solid consumer spending. Core PCE held at 2.8% through February. With the effective fed funds rate at 3.64%, markets eye the April 28-29 FOMC for policy signals ahead of April CPI release on May 12.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$667,377 Обс.
Понад 3,5%
84%
Понад 4%
30%
Понад 5%
19%
Понад 6%
14%
Понад 8%
8%
Понад 10%
5%
$667,377 Обс.
Понад 3,5%
84%
Понад 4%
30%
Понад 5%
19%
Понад 6%
14%
Понад 8%
8%
Понад 10%
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US headline CPI inflation surged to 3.3% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 2.4% in February and the highest since May 2024, driven by a 12.5% energy price spike amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict; monthly CPI rose 0.9% seasonally adjusted, the largest gain since 2022. The Federal Reserve's March 18 dot plot raised its median 2026 PCE inflation projection to 2.7% from 2.4%, reflecting trader consensus on sticky prices despite solid consumer spending. Core PCE held at 2.8% through February. With the effective fed funds rate at 3.64%, markets eye the April 28-29 FOMC for policy signals ahead of April CPI release on May 12.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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