Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-on-year that fell short of forecasts, have reinforced expectations for subdued annual inflation in China amid persistently weak domestic demand and declining food prices. Soft consumption, ongoing property sector pressures, and easing global energy costs following earlier Middle East disruptions have limited pass-through to consumer prices despite producer price gains tied to commodities and AI-related demand. Central bank policy has remained measured, with no aggressive easing signaled, while government stimulus efforts focus more on growth than direct inflation support. Consensus forecasts from institutions cluster between 0.6% and 1.2% for the full-year average, aligning with the market's leading 0.6–1.0% outcome at 51.5% implied probability as traders weigh these demand-side constraints against modest upward risks from policy measures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 52%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.9%
1.1 – 1.5% 12%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,891 Обс.
$72,891 Обс.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
52%
1.1 – 1.5%
12%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 52%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.9%
1.1 – 1.5% 12%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,891 Обс.
$72,891 Обс.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Обс.
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Обс.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Обс.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$4,841 Обс.
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$8,981 Обс.
52%
1.1 – 1.5%
$13,730 Обс.
12%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Обс.
4%
2.0-2.4%
$7,874 Обс.
6%
2.5%+
$3,344 Обс.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-on-year that fell short of forecasts, have reinforced expectations for subdued annual inflation in China amid persistently weak domestic demand and declining food prices. Soft consumption, ongoing property sector pressures, and easing global energy costs following earlier Middle East disruptions have limited pass-through to consumer prices despite producer price gains tied to commodities and AI-related demand. Central bank policy has remained measured, with no aggressive easing signaled, while government stimulus efforts focus more on growth than direct inflation support. Consensus forecasts from institutions cluster between 0.6% and 1.2% for the full-year average, aligning with the market's leading 0.6–1.0% outcome at 51.5% implied probability as traders weigh these demand-side constraints against modest upward risks from policy measures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$72,891Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-on-year that fell short of forecasts, have reinforced expectations for subdued annual inflation in China amid persistently weak domestic demand and declining food prices. Soft consumption, ongoing property sector pressures, and easing global energy costs following earlier Middle East disruptions have limited pass-through to consumer prices despite producer price gains tied to commodities and AI-related demand. Central bank policy has remained measured, with no aggressive easing signaled, while government stimulus efforts focus more on growth than direct inflation support. Consensus forecasts from institutions cluster between 0.6% and 1.2% for the full-year average, aligning with the market's leading 0.6–1.0% outcome at 51.5% implied probability as traders weigh these demand-side constraints against modest upward risks from policy measures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Обсяг
$72,891Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings, including a July 2026 print of 0.5% year-on-year that fell short of forecasts, have reinforced expectations for subdued annual inflation in China amid persistently weak domestic demand and declining food prices. Soft consumption, ongoing property sector pressures, and easing global energy costs following earlier Middle East disruptions have limited pass-through to consumer prices despite producer price gains tied to commodities and AI-related demand. Central bank policy has remained measured, with no aggressive easing signaled, while government stimulus efforts focus more on growth than direct inflation support. Consensus forecasts from institutions cluster between 0.6% and 1.2% for the full-year average, aligning with the market's leading 0.6–1.0% outcome at 51.5% implied probability as traders weigh these demand-side constraints against modest upward risks from policy measures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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