Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6-1.0% range, reflecting the March 2026 data released April 11 showing a softer-than-expected 1.0% year-on-year rise—down from February's 1.3%—with a first-quarter average of 0.9% and core CPI easing to 1.1%. This aligns with economist forecasts clustering around 0.6-1.2%, including IMF projections at 1.2% and recent upward tweaks from Focus Economics at 0.6% amid Mideast oil shocks boosting PPI positive for the first time in over three years. Weak domestic demand and property sector headwinds cap upside risks below the People's Bank of China's ~2% target, while deflationary buckets like <-1.0% hold 9.7% amid lingering pressures; April CPI data due mid-May could shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 41%
1.1 – 1.5% 20%
0.1 – 0.5% 14%
2.5%+ 11.8%
$32,704 Обс.
$32,704 Обс.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
10%
-0.9 – -0.5%
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
14%
0.6 – 1.0%
46%
1.1 – 1.5%
20%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
12%
0.6 – 1.0% 41%
1.1 – 1.5% 20%
0.1 – 0.5% 14%
2.5%+ 11.8%
$32,704 Обс.
$32,704 Обс.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$16,917 Обс.
10%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$1,787 Обс.
6%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$1,832 Обс.
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$1,869 Обс.
14%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,055 Обс.
46%
1.1 – 1.5%
$2,379 Обс.
20%
1.6 – 2.0%
$2,544 Обс.
7%
2.0-2.4%
$1,669 Обс.
6%
2.5%+
$1,651 Обс.
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6-1.0% range, reflecting the March 2026 data released April 11 showing a softer-than-expected 1.0% year-on-year rise—down from February's 1.3%—with a first-quarter average of 0.9% and core CPI easing to 1.1%. This aligns with economist forecasts clustering around 0.6-1.2%, including IMF projections at 1.2% and recent upward tweaks from Focus Economics at 0.6% amid Mideast oil shocks boosting PPI positive for the first time in over three years. Weak domestic demand and property sector headwinds cap upside risks below the People's Bank of China's ~2% target, while deflationary buckets like <-1.0% hold 9.7% amid lingering pressures; April CPI data due mid-May could shift sentiment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,704Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6-1.0% range, reflecting the March 2026 data released April 11 showing a softer-than-expected 1.0% year-on-year rise—down from February's 1.3%—with a first-quarter average of 0.9% and core CPI easing to 1.1%. This aligns with economist forecasts clustering around 0.6-1.2%, including IMF projections at 1.2% and recent upward tweaks from Focus Economics at 0.6% amid Mideast oil shocks boosting PPI positive for the first time in over three years. Weak domestic demand and property sector headwinds cap upside risks below the People's Bank of China's ~2% target, while deflationary buckets like <-1.0% hold 9.7% amid lingering pressures; April CPI data due mid-May could shift sentiment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Обсяг
$32,704Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6-1.0% range, reflecting the March 2026 data released April 11 showing a softer-than-expected 1.0% year-on-year rise—down from February's 1.3%—with a first-quarter average of 0.9% and core CPI easing to 1.1%. This aligns with economist forecasts clustering around 0.6-1.2%, including IMF projections at 1.2% and recent upward tweaks from Focus Economics at 0.6% amid Mideast oil shocks boosting PPI positive for the first time in over three years. Weak domestic demand and property sector headwinds cap upside risks below the People's Bank of China's ~2% target, while deflationary buckets like <-1.0% hold 9.7% amid lingering pressures; April CPI data due mid-May could shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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