Recent July core CPI data printed at the consensus 0.2% MoM, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.5% and establishing a stable base for August expectations amid moderating shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently align with a 0.20% August core reading, while broader forecasts cluster around similar levels ahead of the September 11 release. With market-implied odds tightly distributed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual volatility in goods prices, potential energy rebounds, and labor-market influences against the recent trend of contained inflation. This distribution reflects aggregated real-capital sentiment pricing in both the baseline path and plausible deviations from seasonal or component-specific shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.2% 29%
0.1% 23%
0.3% 20%
≤0.0% 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤0.0%
15%
0.1%
23%
0.2%
29%
0.3%
20%
0.4%
10%
0.5%
7%
0.6%+
7%
0.2% 29%
0.1% 23%
0.3% 20%
≤0.0% 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤0.0%
$60 Обс.
15%
0.1%
$68 Обс.
23%
0.2%
$48 Обс.
29%
0.3%
$48 Обс.
20%
0.4%
$48 Обс.
10%
0.5%
$48 Обс.
7%
0.6%+
$48 Обс.
7%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core CPI data printed at the consensus 0.2% MoM, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.5% and establishing a stable base for August expectations amid moderating shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently align with a 0.20% August core reading, while broader forecasts cluster around similar levels ahead of the September 11 release. With market-implied odds tightly distributed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual volatility in goods prices, potential energy rebounds, and labor-market influences against the recent trend of contained inflation. This distribution reflects aggregated real-capital sentiment pricing in both the baseline path and plausible deviations from seasonal or component-specific shifts.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$368Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July core CPI data printed at the consensus 0.2% MoM, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.5% and establishing a stable base for August expectations amid moderating shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently align with a 0.20% August core reading, while broader forecasts cluster around similar levels ahead of the September 11 release. With market-implied odds tightly distributed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual volatility in goods prices, potential energy rebounds, and labor-market influences against the recent trend of contained inflation. This distribution reflects aggregated real-capital sentiment pricing in both the baseline path and plausible deviations from seasonal or component-specific shifts.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$368Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July core CPI data printed at the consensus 0.2% MoM, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.5% and establishing a stable base for August expectations amid moderating shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently align with a 0.20% August core reading, while broader forecasts cluster around similar levels ahead of the September 11 release. With market-implied odds tightly distributed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual volatility in goods prices, potential energy rebounds, and labor-market influences against the recent trend of contained inflation. This distribution reflects aggregated real-capital sentiment pricing in both the baseline path and plausible deviations from seasonal or component-specific shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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