Trader consensus in the Argentina annual inflation 2026 market, with 53.4% implied probability on 30.0-34.9% and 42.0% on 25-29.9%, centers on sustained disinflation under fiscal surplus and monetary restraint. Recent BCRA REM surveys and private forecasts point to a 29-30.4% year-end outcome, consistent with monthly CPI prints near 1.9-2.1% through mid-2026 and core measures at multi-year lows. July's modest reacceleration to 2.1% m/m and 33.8% annual reflected seasonal pressures but did not derail the downward path from 2025's 31.5% and prior triple-digit rates. External factors including exchange-rate stability and subdued pass-through support further moderation, though growth revisions to 2.7% and any tariff or commodity volatility introduce residual uncertainty around the final annual figure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено30.0-34.9% 53.4%
25-29.9% 42%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.5%
$42,921 Обс.
$42,921 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
42%
30.0-34.9%
53%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
1%
30.0-34.9% 53.4%
25-29.9% 42%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.5%
$42,921 Обс.
$42,921 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Обс.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,226 Обс.
1%
25-29.9%
$12,713 Обс.
42%
30.0-34.9%
$11,974 Обс.
53%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Обс.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,553 Обс.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Обс.
1%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus in the Argentina annual inflation 2026 market, with 53.4% implied probability on 30.0-34.9% and 42.0% on 25-29.9%, centers on sustained disinflation under fiscal surplus and monetary restraint. Recent BCRA REM surveys and private forecasts point to a 29-30.4% year-end outcome, consistent with monthly CPI prints near 1.9-2.1% through mid-2026 and core measures at multi-year lows. July's modest reacceleration to 2.1% m/m and 33.8% annual reflected seasonal pressures but did not derail the downward path from 2025's 31.5% and prior triple-digit rates. External factors including exchange-rate stability and subdued pass-through support further moderation, though growth revisions to 2.7% and any tariff or commodity volatility introduce residual uncertainty around the final annual figure.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,921Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus in the Argentina annual inflation 2026 market, with 53.4% implied probability on 30.0-34.9% and 42.0% on 25-29.9%, centers on sustained disinflation under fiscal surplus and monetary restraint. Recent BCRA REM surveys and private forecasts point to a 29-30.4% year-end outcome, consistent with monthly CPI prints near 1.9-2.1% through mid-2026 and core measures at multi-year lows. July's modest reacceleration to 2.1% m/m and 33.8% annual reflected seasonal pressures but did not derail the downward path from 2025's 31.5% and prior triple-digit rates. External factors including exchange-rate stability and subdued pass-through support further moderation, though growth revisions to 2.7% and any tariff or commodity volatility introduce residual uncertainty around the final annual figure.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$42,921Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Argentina annual inflation 2026 market, with 53.4% implied probability on 30.0-34.9% and 42.0% on 25-29.9%, centers on sustained disinflation under fiscal surplus and monetary restraint. Recent BCRA REM surveys and private forecasts point to a 29-30.4% year-end outcome, consistent with monthly CPI prints near 1.9-2.1% through mid-2026 and core measures at multi-year lows. July's modest reacceleration to 2.1% m/m and 33.8% annual reflected seasonal pressures but did not derail the downward path from 2025's 31.5% and prior triple-digit rates. External factors including exchange-rate stability and subdued pass-through support further moderation, though growth revisions to 2.7% and any tariff or commodity volatility introduce residual uncertainty around the final annual figure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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