Trader sentiment for the August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year reading centers on outcomes clustered around 2.3–2.4 percent, reflecting the closely matched probabilities in this contested market. The July 2026 print of 2.5 percent YoY, with a modest 0.2 percent monthly gain, established a baseline of gradual disinflation driven by slower shelter and services price growth. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further moderation near 2.38 percent for August, consistent with leading indicators such as easing airline fares and household goods. Market-implied odds aggregate trader views on whether sticky components like medical care or housing will offset these trends ahead of the September 11 release. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance and incoming data on labor markets that could influence the pace of cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.4% 40%
2.3% 31%
2.5% 21%
2.6% 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
1%
2.1%
<1%
2.2%
4%
2.3%
31%
2.4%
40%
2.5%
21%
2.6%
4%
2.7%
3%
2.8%
3%
≥2.9%
2%
2.4% 40%
2.3% 31%
2.5% 21%
2.6% 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
$297 Обс.
1%
2.1%
$252 Обс.
<1%
2.2%
$370 Обс.
4%
2.3%
$333 Обс.
31%
2.4%
$1,958 Обс.
40%
2.5%
$226 Обс.
21%
2.6%
$878 Обс.
4%
2.7%
$743 Обс.
3%
2.8%
$861 Обс.
3%
≥2.9%
$393 Обс.
2%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment for the August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year reading centers on outcomes clustered around 2.3–2.4 percent, reflecting the closely matched probabilities in this contested market. The July 2026 print of 2.5 percent YoY, with a modest 0.2 percent monthly gain, established a baseline of gradual disinflation driven by slower shelter and services price growth. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further moderation near 2.38 percent for August, consistent with leading indicators such as easing airline fares and household goods. Market-implied odds aggregate trader views on whether sticky components like medical care or housing will offset these trends ahead of the September 11 release. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance and incoming data on labor markets that could influence the pace of cooling.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,310Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment for the August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year reading centers on outcomes clustered around 2.3–2.4 percent, reflecting the closely matched probabilities in this contested market. The July 2026 print of 2.5 percent YoY, with a modest 0.2 percent monthly gain, established a baseline of gradual disinflation driven by slower shelter and services price growth. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further moderation near 2.38 percent for August, consistent with leading indicators such as easing airline fares and household goods. Market-implied odds aggregate trader views on whether sticky components like medical care or housing will offset these trends ahead of the September 11 release. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance and incoming data on labor markets that could influence the pace of cooling.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$6,310Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year reading centers on outcomes clustered around 2.3–2.4 percent, reflecting the closely matched probabilities in this contested market. The July 2026 print of 2.5 percent YoY, with a modest 0.2 percent monthly gain, established a baseline of gradual disinflation driven by slower shelter and services price growth. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to further moderation near 2.38 percent for August, consistent with leading indicators such as easing airline fares and household goods. Market-implied odds aggregate trader views on whether sticky components like medical care or housing will offset these trends ahead of the September 11 release. Broader context includes the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance and incoming data on labor markets that could influence the pace of cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання