South Korea’s annual inflation market reflects trader positioning around official forecasts of 2.6–2.7% for 2026, with the 2.7–2.9% band commanding the highest implied probability amid June CPI accelerating to 3.2% year-over-year—the fastest pace since late 2023—driven by elevated petroleum prices, a weaker won, and spillover effects into transport and food categories. The Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%, its first tightening since 2023, alongside upward revisions to both government and central bank inflation projections, has reinforced expectations that headline inflation will average near 2.7% despite easing oil-price pressures later in the year. July CPI data, due imminently, and ongoing monitoring of KRW volatility and global energy markets remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.7% to 2.9% 37.9%
3.0%+ 26%
2.4% to 2.6% 21.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 11.6%
$21,283 Обс.
$21,283 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
1%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
12%
2.4% to 2.6%
22%
2.7% to 2.9%
38%
3.0%+
26%
2.7% to 2.9% 37.9%
3.0%+ 26%
2.4% to 2.6% 21.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 11.6%
$21,283 Обс.
$21,283 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$1,909 Обс.
1%
1.5% to 1.7%
$1,701 Обс.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$882 Обс.
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
$2,728 Обс.
12%
2.4% to 2.6%
$1,038 Обс.
22%
2.7% to 2.9%
$2,897 Обс.
38%
3.0%+
$10,127 Обс.
26%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s annual inflation market reflects trader positioning around official forecasts of 2.6–2.7% for 2026, with the 2.7–2.9% band commanding the highest implied probability amid June CPI accelerating to 3.2% year-over-year—the fastest pace since late 2023—driven by elevated petroleum prices, a weaker won, and spillover effects into transport and food categories. The Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%, its first tightening since 2023, alongside upward revisions to both government and central bank inflation projections, has reinforced expectations that headline inflation will average near 2.7% despite easing oil-price pressures later in the year. July CPI data, due imminently, and ongoing monitoring of KRW volatility and global energy markets remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,283Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s annual inflation market reflects trader positioning around official forecasts of 2.6–2.7% for 2026, with the 2.7–2.9% band commanding the highest implied probability amid June CPI accelerating to 3.2% year-over-year—the fastest pace since late 2023—driven by elevated petroleum prices, a weaker won, and spillover effects into transport and food categories. The Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%, its first tightening since 2023, alongside upward revisions to both government and central bank inflation projections, has reinforced expectations that headline inflation will average near 2.7% despite easing oil-price pressures later in the year. July CPI data, due imminently, and ongoing monitoring of KRW volatility and global energy markets remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Обсяг
$21,283Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s annual inflation market reflects trader positioning around official forecasts of 2.6–2.7% for 2026, with the 2.7–2.9% band commanding the highest implied probability amid June CPI accelerating to 3.2% year-over-year—the fastest pace since late 2023—driven by elevated petroleum prices, a weaker won, and spillover effects into transport and food categories. The Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%, its first tightening since 2023, alongside upward revisions to both government and central bank inflation projections, has reinforced expectations that headline inflation will average near 2.7% despite easing oil-price pressures later in the year. July CPI data, due imminently, and ongoing monitoring of KRW volatility and global energy markets remain key near-term catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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