**South Korea’s 2026 CPI inflation market prices the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets highest at a combined 61.5% probability, reflecting the Bank of Korea’s maintained 2.7% full-year forecast amid stronger-than-expected growth.** Robust semiconductor exports have lifted the BOK’s 2026 GDP outlook to 3.3%, supporting nominal income gains that are feeding core inflation, which accelerated to 3.4% in August. Headline CPI rose to 3.1% year-over-year that month, boosted by base effects and elevated petroleum prices linked to Middle East tensions, though government fuel caps and holiday supply measures provide some offset. Traders are weighing these demand-side and cost-push pressures against the likelihood of moderation later in the year, with the central bank signaling vigilance and openness to further rate hikes depending on how chip-driven gains transmit to domestic demand. The September CPI release and October policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.0%+ 35.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 25.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 8.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 6.6%
$42,138 Обс.
$42,138 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
18%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
7%
2.4% to 2.6%
9%
2.7% to 2.9%
26%
3.0%+
36%
3.0%+ 35.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 25.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 8.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 6.6%
$42,138 Обс.
$42,138 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$2,856 Обс.
18%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,090 Обс.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,842 Обс.
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,264 Обс.
7%
2.4% to 2.6%
$6,498 Обс.
9%
2.7% to 2.9%
$7,696 Обс.
26%
3.0%+
$15,893 Обс.
36%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000**South Korea’s 2026 CPI inflation market prices the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets highest at a combined 61.5% probability, reflecting the Bank of Korea’s maintained 2.7% full-year forecast amid stronger-than-expected growth.** Robust semiconductor exports have lifted the BOK’s 2026 GDP outlook to 3.3%, supporting nominal income gains that are feeding core inflation, which accelerated to 3.4% in August. Headline CPI rose to 3.1% year-over-year that month, boosted by base effects and elevated petroleum prices linked to Middle East tensions, though government fuel caps and holiday supply measures provide some offset. Traders are weighing these demand-side and cost-push pressures against the likelihood of moderation later in the year, with the central bank signaling vigilance and openness to further rate hikes depending on how chip-driven gains transmit to domestic demand. The September CPI release and October policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$42,138Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000**South Korea’s 2026 CPI inflation market prices the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets highest at a combined 61.5% probability, reflecting the Bank of Korea’s maintained 2.7% full-year forecast amid stronger-than-expected growth.** Robust semiconductor exports have lifted the BOK’s 2026 GDP outlook to 3.3%, supporting nominal income gains that are feeding core inflation, which accelerated to 3.4% in August. Headline CPI rose to 3.1% year-over-year that month, boosted by base effects and elevated petroleum prices linked to Middle East tensions, though government fuel caps and holiday supply measures provide some offset. Traders are weighing these demand-side and cost-push pressures against the likelihood of moderation later in the year, with the central bank signaling vigilance and openness to further rate hikes depending on how chip-driven gains transmit to domestic demand. The September CPI release and October policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Обсяг
$42,138Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**South Korea’s 2026 CPI inflation market prices the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets highest at a combined 61.5% probability, reflecting the Bank of Korea’s maintained 2.7% full-year forecast amid stronger-than-expected growth.** Robust semiconductor exports have lifted the BOK’s 2026 GDP outlook to 3.3%, supporting nominal income gains that are feeding core inflation, which accelerated to 3.4% in August. Headline CPI rose to 3.1% year-over-year that month, boosted by base effects and elevated petroleum prices linked to Middle East tensions, though government fuel caps and holiday supply measures provide some offset. Traders are weighing these demand-side and cost-push pressures against the likelihood of moderation later in the year, with the central bank signaling vigilance and openness to further rate hikes depending on how chip-driven gains transmit to domestic demand. The September CPI release and October policy meeting remain key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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