Traders are pricing the September 2026 CPI month-over-month reading as a tight contest, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes holding the largest shares of market-implied probability amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation momentum. Recent labor-market cooling, combined with prior core CPI moderation, has anchored expectations near these levels, while persistent services inflation and energy-price swings create room for variance. The Federal Reserve’s policy path remains sensitive to this release and follow-on data, with Treasury yields and fed-funds futures reflecting a data-dependent stance. Upcoming retail sales and PPI figures could refine probabilities before the BLS report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.5% 29%
0.6% 20%
0.4% 19%
0.7% 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
29%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
13%
≥0.8%
7%
0.5% 29%
0.6% 20%
0.4% 19%
0.7% 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$117 Обс.
3%
0.1%
$110 Обс.
5%
0.2%
$149 Обс.
9%
0.3%
$150 Обс.
5%
0.4%
$359 Обс.
21%
0.5%
$1,025 Обс.
29%
0.6%
$149 Обс.
20%
0.7%
$130 Обс.
13%
≥0.8%
$726 Обс.
7%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing the September 2026 CPI month-over-month reading as a tight contest, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes holding the largest shares of market-implied probability amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation momentum. Recent labor-market cooling, combined with prior core CPI moderation, has anchored expectations near these levels, while persistent services inflation and energy-price swings create room for variance. The Federal Reserve’s policy path remains sensitive to this release and follow-on data, with Treasury yields and fed-funds futures reflecting a data-dependent stance. Upcoming retail sales and PPI figures could refine probabilities before the BLS report.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,913Дата завершення
Oct 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing the September 2026 CPI month-over-month reading as a tight contest, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes holding the largest shares of market-implied probability amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation momentum. Recent labor-market cooling, combined with prior core CPI moderation, has anchored expectations near these levels, while persistent services inflation and energy-price swings create room for variance. The Federal Reserve’s policy path remains sensitive to this release and follow-on data, with Treasury yields and fed-funds futures reflecting a data-dependent stance. Upcoming retail sales and PPI figures could refine probabilities before the BLS report.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$2,913Дата завершення
Oct 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the September 2026 CPI month-over-month reading as a tight contest, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes holding the largest shares of market-implied probability amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation momentum. Recent labor-market cooling, combined with prior core CPI moderation, has anchored expectations near these levels, while persistent services inflation and energy-price swings create room for variance. The Federal Reserve’s policy path remains sensitive to this release and follow-on data, with Treasury yields and fed-funds futures reflecting a data-dependent stance. Upcoming retail sales and PPI figures could refine probabilities before the BLS report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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