Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus forecasts and up just 0.1 point from June, anchors trader sentiment for the August release due September 3. Steady expansion persists for a 25th straight month amid resilient business activity and new orders, tempered by employment contracting again and lingering price pressures from petroleum costs plus mortgage and inflation concerns. Tariff effects and geopolitical factors appear less prominent in recent surveys, while positive mentions of events like the World Cup support activity levels. With top implied probabilities clustered tightly between 45% and 47.5% for the 54.0–55.9 ranges, markets price in limited momentum shifts versus historical averages near 52–54. Key swing factors include August labor market and inflation prints plus any Fed signals ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено54.0–54.9 22%
52.0–52.9 21%
55.0–55.9 12%
51.0–51.9 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
5%
50.0–50.9
7%
51.0–51.9
11%
52.0–52.9
21%
53.0–53.9
48%
54.0–54.9
22%
55.0–55.9
12%
56.0–56.9
6%
57.0–57.9
5%
58.0+
5%
54.0–54.9 22%
52.0–52.9 21%
55.0–55.9 12%
51.0–51.9 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
$0 Обс.
5%
50.0–50.9
$5 Обс.
7%
51.0–51.9
$0 Обс.
11%
52.0–52.9
$0 Обс.
21%
53.0–53.9
$43 Обс.
48%
54.0–54.9
$0 Обс.
22%
55.0–55.9
$0 Обс.
12%
56.0–56.9
$0 Обс.
6%
57.0–57.9
$0 Обс.
5%
58.0+
$38 Обс.
5%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus forecasts and up just 0.1 point from June, anchors trader sentiment for the August release due September 3. Steady expansion persists for a 25th straight month amid resilient business activity and new orders, tempered by employment contracting again and lingering price pressures from petroleum costs plus mortgage and inflation concerns. Tariff effects and geopolitical factors appear less prominent in recent surveys, while positive mentions of events like the World Cup support activity levels. With top implied probabilities clustered tightly between 45% and 47.5% for the 54.0–55.9 ranges, markets price in limited momentum shifts versus historical averages near 52–54. Key swing factors include August labor market and inflation prints plus any Fed signals ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$86Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus forecasts and up just 0.1 point from June, anchors trader sentiment for the August release due September 3. Steady expansion persists for a 25th straight month amid resilient business activity and new orders, tempered by employment contracting again and lingering price pressures from petroleum costs plus mortgage and inflation concerns. Tariff effects and geopolitical factors appear less prominent in recent surveys, while positive mentions of events like the World Cup support activity levels. With top implied probabilities clustered tightly between 45% and 47.5% for the 54.0–55.9 ranges, markets price in limited momentum shifts versus historical averages near 52–54. Key swing factors include August labor market and inflation prints plus any Fed signals ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$86Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus forecasts and up just 0.1 point from June, anchors trader sentiment for the August release due September 3. Steady expansion persists for a 25th straight month amid resilient business activity and new orders, tempered by employment contracting again and lingering price pressures from petroleum costs plus mortgage and inflation concerns. Tariff effects and geopolitical factors appear less prominent in recent surveys, while positive mentions of events like the World Cup support activity levels. With top implied probabilities clustered tightly between 45% and 47.5% for the 54.0–55.9 ranges, markets price in limited momentum shifts versus historical averages near 52–54. Key swing factors include August labor market and inflation prints plus any Fed signals ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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