Recent softness in the June 2026 core CPI print, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid easing shelter costs and broader price moderation, has anchored trader expectations for July around similar subdued levels. With the August 12 release imminent, market-implied odds favor a 0.2% outcome at 48.3% followed by 0.1% at 30.3%, reflecting base effects and continued disinflation trends that have tempered upside risks. Volatility measures and Treasury yields have responded to this trajectory, pricing in limited acceleration while leaving room for modest beats or misses around the 0.3% threshold at 18.6%. Traders are closely watching incoming data on goods and services prices for any shift in the path toward the Fed's 2% target.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCore CPI MoM - July 2026
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.2% 48.3%
0.1% 30.3%
0.3% 18.6%
≤0.0% 4.5%
$121,504 Обс.
$121,504 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
30%
0.2%
48%
0.3%
19%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
<1%
0.6%+
<1%
0.2% 48.3%
0.1% 30.3%
0.3% 18.6%
≤0.0% 4.5%
$121,504 Обс.
$121,504 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
$9,295 Обс.
4%
0.1%
$25,326 Обс.
30%
0.2%
$43,818 Обс.
48%
0.3%
$28,759 Обс.
19%
0.4%
$6,973 Обс.
1%
0.5%
$4,118 Обс.
<1%
0.6%+
$3,214 Обс.
<1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softness in the June 2026 core CPI print, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid easing shelter costs and broader price moderation, has anchored trader expectations for July around similar subdued levels. With the August 12 release imminent, market-implied odds favor a 0.2% outcome at 48.3% followed by 0.1% at 30.3%, reflecting base effects and continued disinflation trends that have tempered upside risks. Volatility measures and Treasury yields have responded to this trajectory, pricing in limited acceleration while leaving room for modest beats or misses around the 0.3% threshold at 18.6%. Traders are closely watching incoming data on goods and services prices for any shift in the path toward the Fed's 2% target.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$121,504Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softness in the June 2026 core CPI print, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid easing shelter costs and broader price moderation, has anchored trader expectations for July around similar subdued levels. With the August 12 release imminent, market-implied odds favor a 0.2% outcome at 48.3% followed by 0.1% at 30.3%, reflecting base effects and continued disinflation trends that have tempered upside risks. Volatility measures and Treasury yields have responded to this trajectory, pricing in limited acceleration while leaving room for modest beats or misses around the 0.3% threshold at 18.6%. Traders are closely watching incoming data on goods and services prices for any shift in the path toward the Fed's 2% target.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$121,504Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softness in the June 2026 core CPI print, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations amid easing shelter costs and broader price moderation, has anchored trader expectations for July around similar subdued levels. With the August 12 release imminent, market-implied odds favor a 0.2% outcome at 48.3% followed by 0.1% at 30.3%, reflecting base effects and continued disinflation trends that have tempered upside risks. Volatility measures and Treasury yields have responded to this trajectory, pricing in limited acceleration while leaving room for modest beats or misses around the 0.3% threshold at 18.6%. Traders are closely watching incoming data on goods and services prices for any shift in the path toward the Fed's 2% target.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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