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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

icon for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Siga Batista 15.6%

Fernando Dias da Costa 10.9%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 5.0%

Baciro Djá 3.6%

Polymarket

$333,709 Обс.

Siga Batista 15.6%

Fernando Dias da Costa 10.9%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 5.0%

Baciro Djá 3.6%

Polymarket

$333,709 Обс.

Siga Batista

$24,288 Обс.

16%

Fernando Dias da Costa

$56,896 Обс.

11%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló

$89,847 Обс.

5%

Baciro Djá

$14,532 Обс.

4%

João de Deus Mendes

$17,085 Обс.

4%

José Mário Vaz

$22,177 Обс.

3%

Gabriel Fernando Indi

$19,362 Обс.

3%

Mário da Silva Júnior

$18,326 Обс.

2%

Herculano Armando Bequinsa

$16,200 Обс.

2%

Honório Augusto Lopes

$18,448 Обс.

2%

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

$19,837 Обс.

1%

João Bernardo Vieira

$16,711 Обс.

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Обсяг
$333,709
Дата завершення
Nov 23, 2025
Ринок відкрито
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Обсяг
$333,709
Дата завершення
Nov 23, 2025
Ринок відкрито
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

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Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Siga Batista» з 16%, далі «Fernando Dias da Costa» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» згенерував $333.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 6, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» — «Siga Batista» з 16%. Наступний — «Fernando Dias da Costa» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.