Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (68.5%) to a 31°C daily maximum in Ankara on September 11, reflecting convergence among official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models projecting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and peak afternoon heating near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions. A secondary cluster at 30°C (26.5%) captures slight downward revisions in some runs, while probabilities drop sharply outside 30–32°C. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September baselines typically 27–29°C but elevated by recent dry, sunny patterns; no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter insolation or boundary-layer mixing before resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
31°C 71%
30°C 22%
32°C 8%
29°C 2%
НОВЕ
$11,869 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,869 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
22%
31°C
71%
32°C
8%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 71%
30°C 22%
32°C 8%
29°C 2%
НОВЕ
$11,869 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,869 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$179 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$185 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$907 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$639 Обс.
1%
29°C
$732 Обс.
2%
30°C
$2,933 Обс.
22%
31°C
$3,177 Обс.
71%
32°C
$1,771 Обс.
8%
33°C
$758 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$464 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (68.5%) to a 31°C daily maximum in Ankara on September 11, reflecting convergence among official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models projecting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and peak afternoon heating near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions. A secondary cluster at 30°C (26.5%) captures slight downward revisions in some runs, while probabilities drop sharply outside 30–32°C. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September baselines typically 27–29°C but elevated by recent dry, sunny patterns; no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter insolation or boundary-layer mixing before resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,869Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (68.5%) to a 31°C daily maximum in Ankara on September 11, reflecting convergence among official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models projecting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and peak afternoon heating near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions. A secondary cluster at 30°C (26.5%) captures slight downward revisions in some runs, while probabilities drop sharply outside 30–32°C. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September baselines typically 27–29°C but elevated by recent dry, sunny patterns; no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter insolation or boundary-layer mixing before resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,869Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (68.5%) to a 31°C daily maximum in Ankara on September 11, reflecting convergence among official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models projecting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and peak afternoon heating near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions. A secondary cluster at 30°C (26.5%) captures slight downward revisions in some runs, while probabilities drop sharply outside 30–32°C. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September baselines typically 27–29°C but elevated by recent dry, sunny patterns; no significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter insolation or boundary-layer mixing before resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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