**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 25°C as the most probable high for Ankara on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability.** As of September 13, Ankara experiences highs near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly or variable winds. Models including those from Yr.no and others project a modest cooldown for the 15th, with daytime maxima of 24–26°C driven by northerly flow, reduced humidity, and high pressure that limits cloud cover while preventing strong solar heating. Afternoon peaks are expected around 24–25°C per detailed hourly guidance, with overnight lows dropping to 10–13°C. This consensus reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region—continental conditions with seasonal cooling—without significant model spread or incoming weather systems that would push extremes. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering around 25°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 23°C or 26°C+ reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing and exact peak values. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
25°C 55%
24°C 25%
26°C 18%
29°C or higher 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
25%
25°C
55%
26°C
18%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
6%
25°C 55%
24°C 25%
26°C 18%
29°C or higher 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Обс.
4%
20°C
$10 Обс.
4%
21°C
$10 Обс.
4%
22°C
$23 Обс.
2%
23°C
$151 Обс.
4%
24°C
$271 Обс.
25%
25°C
$104 Обс.
55%
26°C
$159 Обс.
18%
27°C
$34 Обс.
5%
28°C
$44 Обс.
3%
29°C or higher
$10 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 25°C as the most probable high for Ankara on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability.**
As of September 13, Ankara experiences highs near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly or variable winds. Models including those from Yr.no and others project a modest cooldown for the 15th, with daytime maxima of 24–26°C driven by northerly flow, reduced humidity, and high pressure that limits cloud cover while preventing strong solar heating. Afternoon peaks are expected around 24–25°C per detailed hourly guidance, with overnight lows dropping to 10–13°C.
This consensus reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region—continental conditions with seasonal cooling—without significant model spread or incoming weather systems that would push extremes. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering around 25°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 23°C or 26°C+ reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing and exact peak values. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$826Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 25°C as the most probable high for Ankara on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability.**
As of September 13, Ankara experiences highs near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly or variable winds. Models including those from Yr.no and others project a modest cooldown for the 15th, with daytime maxima of 24–26°C driven by northerly flow, reduced humidity, and high pressure that limits cloud cover while preventing strong solar heating. Afternoon peaks are expected around 24–25°C per detailed hourly guidance, with overnight lows dropping to 10–13°C.
This consensus reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region—continental conditions with seasonal cooling—without significant model spread or incoming weather systems that would push extremes. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering around 25°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 23°C or 26°C+ reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing and exact peak values. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$826Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 25°C as the most probable high for Ankara on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability.** As of September 13, Ankara experiences highs near 26–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly or variable winds. Models including those from Yr.no and others project a modest cooldown for the 15th, with daytime maxima of 24–26°C driven by northerly flow, reduced humidity, and high pressure that limits cloud cover while preventing strong solar heating. Afternoon peaks are expected around 24–25°C per detailed hourly guidance, with overnight lows dropping to 10–13°C. This consensus reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region—continental conditions with seasonal cooling—without significant model spread or incoming weather systems that would push extremes. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering around 25°C, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 23°C or 26°C+ reflecting residual forecast uncertainty in timing and exact peak values. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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