**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and PredictWind indicate overnight lows near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping radiative cooling moderate.** This consensus drives the clustered probabilities around 8–12°C while the near-equal weighting on 5°C-or-below versus 15°C-or-higher reflects remaining ensemble spread from local topographic effects, slight variations in dew-point forecasts, and potential for model divergence on exact minimum timing. Dry September climatology (typical lows 12–14°C) provides baseline context, but the short lead time means the next model runs and official observations will quickly resolve the range. Traders are pricing in genuine uncertainty around these thresholds rather than a single-point outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
5°C or below 78%
15°C or higher 78%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
5°C or below
78%
6°C
39%
7°C
22%
8°C
23%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
78%
5°C or below 78%
15°C or higher 78%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
5°C or below
$10 Обс.
78%
6°C
$10 Обс.
39%
7°C
$0 Обс.
22%
8°C
$0 Обс.
23%
9°C
$0 Обс.
22%
10°C
$0 Обс.
22%
11°C
$0 Обс.
22%
12°C
$0 Обс.
21%
13°C
$10 Обс.
39%
14°C
$10 Обс.
39%
15°C or higher
$10 Обс.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and PredictWind indicate overnight lows near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping radiative cooling moderate.** This consensus drives the clustered probabilities around 8–12°C while the near-equal weighting on 5°C-or-below versus 15°C-or-higher reflects remaining ensemble spread from local topographic effects, slight variations in dew-point forecasts, and potential for model divergence on exact minimum timing. Dry September climatology (typical lows 12–14°C) provides baseline context, but the short lead time means the next model runs and official observations will quickly resolve the range. Traders are pricing in genuine uncertainty around these thresholds rather than a single-point outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$50Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and PredictWind indicate overnight lows near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping radiative cooling moderate.** This consensus drives the clustered probabilities around 8–12°C while the near-equal weighting on 5°C-or-below versus 15°C-or-higher reflects remaining ensemble spread from local topographic effects, slight variations in dew-point forecasts, and potential for model divergence on exact minimum timing. Dry September climatology (typical lows 12–14°C) provides baseline context, but the short lead time means the next model runs and official observations will quickly resolve the range. Traders are pricing in genuine uncertainty around these thresholds rather than a single-point outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$50Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and PredictWind indicate overnight lows near 10–12°C in Ankara on September 15 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping radiative cooling moderate.** This consensus drives the clustered probabilities around 8–12°C while the near-equal weighting on 5°C-or-below versus 15°C-or-higher reflects remaining ensemble spread from local topographic effects, slight variations in dew-point forecasts, and potential for model divergence on exact minimum timing. Dry September climatology (typical lows 12–14°C) provides baseline context, but the short lead time means the next model runs and official observations will quickly resolve the range. Traders are pricing in genuine uncertainty around these thresholds rather than a single-point outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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