Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies currently project a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 16 near 12–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northerly winds, and radiational cooling under autumnal conditions following recent daytime highs near 26–30°C. This places the expected low within the 12–15°C range, where multiple market outcomes cluster near 19–20% implied probability, while the near-even split between ≤11°C and ≥21°C outcomes reflects model spread and timing uncertainty in the final nocturnal minimum. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether stronger cooling or residual cloud cover shifts the outcome, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Anatolian plateau.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
100%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
98%
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
39%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies currently project a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 16 near 12–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northerly winds, and radiational cooling under autumnal conditions following recent daytime highs near 26–30°C. This places the expected low within the 12–15°C range, where multiple market outcomes cluster near 19–20% implied probability, while the near-even split between ≤11°C and ≥21°C outcomes reflects model spread and timing uncertainty in the final nocturnal minimum. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether stronger cooling or residual cloud cover shifts the outcome, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Anatolian plateau.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies currently project a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 16 near 12–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northerly winds, and radiational cooling under autumnal conditions following recent daytime highs near 26–30°C. This places the expected low within the 12–15°C range, where multiple market outcomes cluster near 19–20% implied probability, while the near-even split between ≤11°C and ≥21°C outcomes reflects model spread and timing uncertainty in the final nocturnal minimum. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether stronger cooling or residual cloud cover shifts the outcome, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Anatolian plateau.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies currently project a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 16 near 12–15°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northerly winds, and radiational cooling under autumnal conditions following recent daytime highs near 26–30°C. This places the expected low within the 12–15°C range, where multiple market outcomes cluster near 19–20% implied probability, while the near-even split between ≤11°C and ≥21°C outcomes reflects model spread and timing uncertainty in the final nocturnal minimum. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether stronger cooling or residual cloud cover shifts the outcome, consistent with typical early-September variability in the Anatolian plateau.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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