Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a high near 25–26°C in Ankara on September 14, driven by a shift to stronger westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with the 32–33°C readings of September 12–13. This cooling aligns with typical late-summer transitions in central Anatolia, where September averages peak near 27°C but decline steadily as solar angles decrease. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects tight clustering across official forecasts, while the narrower spread between 25°C and 27°C captures residual model uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
26°C 45%
27°C 27%
25°C 25%
28°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
25%
26°C
45%
27°C
27%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 27%
25°C 25%
28°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$215 Обс.
1%
23°C
$203 Обс.
1%
24°C
$232 Обс.
1%
25°C
$947 Обс.
25%
26°C
$447 Обс.
45%
27°C
$622 Обс.
27%
28°C
$266 Обс.
5%
29°C
$142 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$142 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$142 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$142 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a high near 25–26°C in Ankara on September 14, driven by a shift to stronger westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with the 32–33°C readings of September 12–13. This cooling aligns with typical late-summer transitions in central Anatolia, where September averages peak near 27°C but decline steadily as solar angles decrease. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects tight clustering across official forecasts, while the narrower spread between 25°C and 27°C captures residual model uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,353Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a high near 25–26°C in Ankara on September 14, driven by a shift to stronger westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with the 32–33°C readings of September 12–13. This cooling aligns with typical late-summer transitions in central Anatolia, where September averages peak near 27°C but decline steadily as solar angles decrease. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects tight clustering across official forecasts, while the narrower spread between 25°C and 27°C captures residual model uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,353Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a high near 25–26°C in Ankara on September 14, driven by a shift to stronger westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating compared with the 32–33°C readings of September 12–13. This cooling aligns with typical late-summer transitions in central Anatolia, where September averages peak near 27°C but decline steadily as solar angles decrease. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects tight clustering across official forecasts, while the narrower spread between 25°C and 27°C captures residual model uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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