Recent model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a high of 20–22°C in Ankara on September 25 under building high pressure, easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. A cool front and showers earlier in the week have established a downward temperature trend from mid-September peaks near 30°C, with overnight lows dropping to 8–10°C. This setup favors moderate warming during peak afternoon hours without strong solar or southerly advection. Traders have priced the highest probability on 20°C (37%), followed closely by 21°C and 19°C, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low expected variance two days before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 25?
20°C 40%
21°C 26%
19°C 24%
18°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
15°C or below
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
37%
21°C
26%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
4%
20°C 40%
21°C 26%
19°C 24%
18°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
16°C
$0 Обс.
4%
17°C
$0 Обс.
4%
18°C
$0 Обс.
16%
19°C
$0 Обс.
24%
20°C
$10 Обс.
37%
21°C
$0 Обс.
26%
22°C
$0 Обс.
10%
23°C
$4 Обс.
9%
24°C
$200 Обс.
5%
25°C or higher
$120 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a high of 20–22°C in Ankara on September 25 under building high pressure, easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. A cool front and showers earlier in the week have established a downward temperature trend from mid-September peaks near 30°C, with overnight lows dropping to 8–10°C. This setup favors moderate warming during peak afternoon hours without strong solar or southerly advection. Traders have priced the highest probability on 20°C (37%), followed closely by 21°C and 19°C, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low expected variance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$334Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a high of 20–22°C in Ankara on September 25 under building high pressure, easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. A cool front and showers earlier in the week have established a downward temperature trend from mid-September peaks near 30°C, with overnight lows dropping to 8–10°C. This setup favors moderate warming during peak afternoon hours without strong solar or southerly advection. Traders have priced the highest probability on 20°C (37%), followed closely by 21°C and 19°C, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low expected variance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$334Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a high of 20–22°C in Ankara on September 25 under building high pressure, easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. A cool front and showers earlier in the week have established a downward temperature trend from mid-September peaks near 30°C, with overnight lows dropping to 8–10°C. This setup favors moderate warming during peak afternoon hours without strong solar or southerly advection. Traders have priced the highest probability on 20°C (37%), followed closely by 21°C and 19°C, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low expected variance two days before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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