Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$425,347 Обс.
$425,347 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$425,347 Обс.
$425,347 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
21°C or below
$11,131 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,287 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,222 Обс.
No
24°C
$10,874 Обс.
No
25°C
$19,353 Обс.
No
26°C
$29,334 Обс.
No
27°C
$44,443 Обс.
No
28°C
$118,998 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$85,734 Обс.
No
30°C
$54,723 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$43,247 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$425,347Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$425,347Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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