Current short-range forecasts from agencies and models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 2 with daytime highs near 28–30 °C under northeasterly flow and low precipitation chances. These values sit above the market’s tight clustering at 26 °C (48 %) and 27 °C (40.5 %), reflecting trader emphasis on remaining model spread, exact timing of the daily maximum, and possible localized cooling from sea breezes or measurement station specifics. Historical early-September maxima average near 28 °C, providing context for the modest implied probabilities attached to 28 °C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
26°C 48%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies and models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 2 with daytime highs near 28–30 °C under northeasterly flow and low precipitation chances. These values sit above the market’s tight clustering at 26 °C (48 %) and 27 °C (40.5 %), reflecting trader emphasis on remaining model spread, exact timing of the daily maximum, and possible localized cooling from sea breezes or measurement station specifics. Historical early-September maxima average near 28 °C, providing context for the modest implied probabilities attached to 28 °C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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