Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms for Jinan on August 26, supporting highs near 33–35°C that underpin the 50.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Southerly flow and elevated dew points around 22–24°C favor heat retention, though localized rain could cap peaks. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, with recent days showing similar warmth interrupted by convection. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on exceeding 26°C while assigning modest probability to cooler outcomes if stronger systems develop. Updated runs tomorrow morning and official station readings will provide final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
21°C 8%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
16°C or below 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
54%
21°C 8%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
16°C or below 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
2%
24°C
$0 Обс.
3%
25°C
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C or higher
$1 Обс.
54%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms for Jinan on August 26, supporting highs near 33–35°C that underpin the 50.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Southerly flow and elevated dew points around 22–24°C favor heat retention, though localized rain could cap peaks. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, with recent days showing similar warmth interrupted by convection. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on exceeding 26°C while assigning modest probability to cooler outcomes if stronger systems develop. Updated runs tomorrow morning and official station readings will provide final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms for Jinan on August 26, supporting highs near 33–35°C that underpin the 50.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Southerly flow and elevated dew points around 22–24°C favor heat retention, though localized rain could cap peaks. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, with recent days showing similar warmth interrupted by convection. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on exceeding 26°C while assigning modest probability to cooler outcomes if stronger systems develop. Updated runs tomorrow morning and official station readings will provide final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms for Jinan on August 26, supporting highs near 33–35°C that underpin the 50.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Southerly flow and elevated dew points around 22–24°C favor heat retention, though localized rain could cap peaks. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C, with recent days showing similar warmth interrupted by convection. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on exceeding 26°C while assigning modest probability to cooler outcomes if stronger systems develop. Updated runs tomorrow morning and official station readings will provide final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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