Recent official weather model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned forecasts and regional monitoring places Jinan’s September 13 high near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds, well above the 26 °C threshold. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure ridging that favors strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology for Shandong province where September averages hover near 27 °C. Traders assign 98 % implied probability to 26 °C or higher because ensemble runs show little divergence and no incoming frontal systems. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in low-level moisture or rapid cloud build-up that sharply reduces surface heating, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on September 13?
26°C or higher 98%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official weather model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned forecasts and regional monitoring places Jinan’s September 13 high near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds, well above the 26 °C threshold. This positioning reflects persistent high-pressure ridging that favors strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology for Shandong province where September averages hover near 27 °C. Traders assign 98 % implied probability to 26 °C or higher because ensemble runs show little divergence and no incoming frontal systems. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in low-level moisture or rapid cloud build-up that sharply reduces surface heating, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання